| 1. Identity statement | ||||
| Reference Type | Journal Article | |||
| Site | mtc-m21d.sid.inpe.br | |||
| Holder Code | isadg {BR SPINPE} ibi 8JMKD3MGPCW/3DT298S | |||
| Identifier | 8JMKD3MGP3W34T/46Q6222 | |||
| Repository | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21d/2022/04.29.14.24 (restricted access) | |||
| Last Update | 2022:04.29.14.24.00 (UTC) simone | |||
| Metadata Repository | sid.inpe.br/mtc-m21d/2022/04.29.14.24.01 | |||
| Metadata Last Update | 2023:01.03.16.46.05 (UTC) administrator | |||
| DOI | 10.3389/ffgc.2022.735017 | |||
| ISSN | 2624-893X | |||
| Citation Key | OliveiraSoBuGoOmRa:2022:DeFiIm | |||
| Title | Determinants of Fire Impact in the Brazilian Biomes  | |||
| Year | 2022 | |||
| Month | Mar. | |||
| Access Date | 2024, May 11 | |||
| Type of Work | journal article | |||
| Secondary Type | PRE PI | |||
| Number of Files | 1 | |||
| Size | 6105 KiB | |||
| 2. Context | ||||
| Author | 1 Oliveira, Ubirajara 2 Soares Filho, Britaldo 3 Bustamante, Mercedes 4 Gomes, Letícia 5 Ometto, Jean Pierre Henry Balbaud 6 Rajao, Raoni | |||
| Group | 1 2 3 4 5 DIPE3-COGPI-INPE-MCTI-GOV-BR | |||
| Affiliation | 1 Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG) 2 Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG) 3 Universidade de Brasília (UnB) 4 Universidade de Brasília (UnB) 5 Instituto Nacional de Pesquisas Espaciais (INPE) 6 Universidade Federal de Minas Gerais (UFMG) | |||
| Author e-Mail Address | 1 ubiologia@yahoo.com.br 2 3 4 5 jean.ometto@inpe.br | |||
| Journal | Frontiers in Forests and Global Change | |||
| Volume | 5 | |||
| Pages | e735017 | |||
| History (UTC) | 2022-04-29 14:24:47 :: simone -> administrator :: 2022 2023-01-03 16:46:05 :: administrator -> simone :: 2022 | |||
| 3. Content and structure | ||||
| Is the master or a copy? | is the master | |||
| Content Stage | completed | |||
| Transferable | 1 | |||
| Content Type | External Contribution | |||
| Version Type | publisher | |||
| Keywords | modeling deforestation land use change protected areas native vegetation | |||
| Abstract | More and more, wildfires are raging in large parts of the world due to a warmer climate, more frequent and severe droughts, and continued land-use changes. In Brazil, the weakening of public environmental policies has further aggravated wildfires with widespread impacts across the country. Here, we investigated the determinants of the impact of fire in the Brazilian biomes using a dataset of burned areas between 2001 and 2019 to simulate its future impact under alternative policy and climate scenarios. We began by deriving a fire impact index using a principal component (PC) analysis comprising the variables: 1. fire intensity, 2. fire recurrence, 3. burned area size, 4. mean time interval between successive fires, and 5. predominance of fires in the dry season. We considered as High Impact Fires (HIF) those areas whose values of the first PC were above the 90th percentile. HIF occurred in the Amazon, Cerrado, and Pantanal, but not in the Atlantic Forest, Pampa, and Caatinga biomes. As the main drivers of HIF, our spatial autoregressive models (SAR) (Amazonia R-2 = 0.66, Pantanal R-2 = 0.86 and Cerrado R-2 = 0.79) indicated the climate (Amazon, 25%, Pantanal, 53%, and Cerrado, 56%) together with land-use change (Amazon, 75%, Pantanal, 25%, and Cerrado, 38%). Most HIF occurred in native vegetation remnants (NVR) (55% in the Amazon, 86% in the Pantanal and 94% in the Cerrado), especially in places close to areas deforested over the last two decades. Only in Pantanal fuel loads (dry biomass) play a major role in HIF (22% of explanation). In the Cerrado, it only accounted for 4% of the observed variability and in the Amazon, it was not a significant factor. Over the analyzed period, HIF imposed a loss of 23%, on average, on the NDVI response of the native vegetation in the Amazon, 19% in the Cerrado and 16% in the Pantanal, thus indicating physiological stress. Simulations of future climate and land-use change pointed to a dramatic increase in HIF by 2050. Under the RCP4.5 and strong environmental governance scenario, HIF in the Cerrado would expand from the current 3% of the biome to 15%, from 7 to 8% in the Pantanal and from 0.7 to 1.2% in the Amazon. In addition, the impact of fire would intensify in 95% of the Cerrado, 97% of the Amazon and 74% of the Pantanal. Effective public and private policies will be vital to mitigate the growing threat of HIF. In this sense, our spatially explicit models can help direct prevention and firefighting programs. | |||
| Area | CST | |||
| Arrangement | urlib.net > COGPI > Determinants of Fire... | |||
| doc Directory Content | access | |||
| source Directory Content | there are no files | |||
| agreement Directory Content |
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| 4. Conditions of access and use | ||||
| Target File | ffgc-05-735017.pdf | |||
| User Group | simone | |||
| Reader Group | administrator simone | |||
| Visibility | shown | |||
| Read Permission | deny from all and allow from 150.163 | |||
| Update Permission | not transferred | |||
| 5. Allied materials | ||||
| Next Higher Units | 8JMKD3MGPCW/46L2FGP | |||
| Citing Item List | sid.inpe.br/bibdigital/2022/04.04.04.47 2 | |||
| Dissemination | WEBSCI; PORTALCAPES; SCOPUS. | |||
| Host Collection | urlib.net/www/2021/06.04.03.40 | |||
| 6. Notes | ||||
| Empty Fields | alternatejournal archivingpolicy archivist callnumber copyholder copyright creatorhistory descriptionlevel e-mailaddress format isbn label language lineage mark mirrorrepository nextedition notes number orcid parameterlist parentrepositories previousedition previouslowerunit progress project resumeid rightsholder schedulinginformation secondarydate secondarykey secondarymark session shorttitle sponsor subject tertiarymark tertiarytype url | |||
| 7. Description control | ||||
| e-Mail (login) | simone | |||
| update | ||||